Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

HOU

29%

BAL

71%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

44–10

Winner HOU. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.5 BAL
• Offensive touchdowns+0.3 BAL
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 HOU
• Home field+0.3 BAL