Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

TB

38%

DET

62%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

9–24

Winner DET. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 DET
• Scoring+0.2 DET
• Scoring differential+0.1 DET
• Offensive touchdowns+0.1 DET