Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

DAL

60%

CAR

40%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

55%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–30

Winner CAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.4 DAL
• Home field+0.3 CAR
• Scoring−0.2 DAL
• Passing efficiency+0.1 CAR