Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2023 W1 · BUF at NYJ	76% / 24%	16–22	44%	Miss
2023 W1 · CAR at ATL	36% / 64%	10–24	36%	Correct
2023 W1 · CIN at CLE	61% / 39%	3–24	34%	Miss
2023 W1 · DAL at NYG	64% / 36%	40–0	36%	Correct
2023 W1 · DET at KC	29% / 71%	21–20	41%	Miss
2023 W1 · GB at CHI	58% / 42%	38–20	31%	Correct
2023 W1 · HOU at BAL	22% / 78%	9–25	45%	Correct
2023 W1 · JAX at IND	64% / 36%	31–21	36%	Correct
2023 W1 · LAR at SEA	31% / 69%	30–13	39%	Miss
2023 W1 · LV at DEN	47% / 53%	17–16	28%	Miss
2023 W1 · MIA at LAC	39% / 61%	36–34	34%	Miss
2023 W1 · PHI at NE	61% / 39%	25–20	34%	Correct
2023 W1 · SF at PIT	72% / 28%	30–7	42%	Correct
2023 W1 · TB at MIN	34% / 66%	20–17	37%	Miss
2023 W1 · TEN at NO	47% / 53%	15–16	28%	Correct
2022 W18 · ARI at SF	15% / 85%	13–38	82%	Correct
2022 W18 · BAL at CIN	32% / 68%	16–27	69%	Correct
2022 W18 · CAR at NO	41% / 59%	10–7	64%	Miss
2022 W18 · CLE at PIT	62% / 38%	14–28	65%	Miss
2022 W18 · DAL at WAS	77% / 23%	6–26	76%	Miss
2022 W18 · DET at GB	36% / 64%	20–16	67%	Miss
2022 W18 · HOU at IND	45% / 55%	32–31	60%	Miss
2022 W18 · KC at LV	74% / 26%	31–13	74%	Correct
2022 W18 · LAC at DEN	62% / 38%	28–31	66%	Miss
2022 W18 · LAR at SEA	39% / 61%	16–19	65%	Correct
2022 W18 · MIN at CHI	56% / 44%	29–13	61%	Correct
2022 W18 · NE at BUF	30% / 70%	23–35	71%	Correct
2022 W18 · NYG at PHI	30% / 70%	16–22	71%	Correct
2022 W18 · NYJ at MIA	45% / 55%	6–11	60%	Correct
2022 W18 · TB at ATL	61% / 39%	17–30	65%	Miss
2022 W18 · TEN at JAX	31% / 69%	16–20	71%	Correct
2022 W17 · ARI at ATL	39% / 61%	19–20	64%	Correct
2022 W17 · CAR at TB	41% / 59%	24–30	63%	Correct
2022 W17 · CHI at DET	37% / 63%	10–41	66%	Correct
2022 W17 · CLE at WAS	54% / 46%	24–10	60%	Correct
2022 W17 · DAL at TEN	80% / 20%	27–13	78%	Correct
2022 W17 · DEN at KC	13% / 87%	24–27	83%	Correct
2022 W17 · IND at NYG	26% / 74%	10–38	74%	Correct
2022 W17 · JAX at HOU	73% / 27%	31–3	73%	Correct
2022 W17 · LAR at LAC	36% / 64%	10–31	66%	Correct