Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Chargers

Before kickoff

MIA

39%

LAC

61%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

34%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

36–34

Winner MIA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 LAC
• Rushing defense−0.4 MIA
• Passing efficiency+0.2 LAC
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 LAC