Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

CLE

62%

PIT

38%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–28

Winner PIT. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 PIT
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 CLE
• Scoring−0.2 CLE
• Passing defense−0.2 CLE