Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2024 W7 · DET at MIN	39% / 61%	31–29	55%	Miss
2024 W7 · HOU at GB	52% / 48%	22–24	51%	Miss
2024 W7 · KC at SF	37% / 63%	28–18	57%	Miss
2024 W7 · LAC at ARI	51% / 49%	15–17	48%	Miss
2024 W7 · LV at LAR	30% / 70%	15–20	62%	Correct
2024 W7 · MIA at IND	47% / 53%	10–16	50%	Correct
2024 W7 · NE at JAX	45% / 55%	16–32	53%	Correct
2024 W7 · NYJ at PIT	36% / 64%	15–37	59%	Correct
2024 W7 · PHI at NYG	75% / 25%	28–3	65%	Correct
2024 W7 · SEA at ATL	43% / 57%	34–14	55%	Miss
2024 W7 · TEN at BUF	20% / 80%	10–34	69%	Correct
2024 W6 · ARI at GB	42% / 58%	13–34	53%	Correct
2024 W6 · ATL at CAR	62% / 38%	38–20	56%	Correct
2024 W6 · BUF at NYJ	67% / 33%	23–20	59%	Correct
2024 W6 · CIN at NYG	72% / 28%	17–7	63%	Correct
2024 W6 · CLE at PHI	34% / 66%	16–20	56%	Correct
2024 W6 · DET at DAL	46% / 54%	47–9	48%	Miss
2024 W6 · HOU at NE	68% / 32%	41–21	61%	Correct
2024 W6 · IND at TEN	48% / 52%	20–17	47%	Miss
2024 W6 · JAX at CHI	54% / 46%	16–35	50%	Miss
2024 W6 · LAC at DEN	57% / 43%	23–16	50%	Correct
2024 W6 · PIT at LV	64% / 36%	32–13	58%	Correct
2024 W6 · SF at SEA	64% / 36%	36–24	58%	Correct
2024 W6 · TB at NO	43% / 57%	51–27	52%	Miss
2024 W6 · WAS at BAL	26% / 74%	23–30	64%	Correct
2024 W5 · ARI at SF	25% / 75%	24–23	63%	Miss
2024 W5 · BAL at CIN	65% / 35%	41–38	56%	Correct
2024 W5 · BUF at HOU	56% / 44%	20–23	50%	Miss
2024 W5 · CAR at CHI	34% / 66%	10–36	56%	Correct
2024 W5 · CLE at WAS	46% / 54%	13–34	48%	Correct
2024 W5 · DAL at PIT	58% / 42%	20–17	51%	Correct
2024 W5 · GB at LAR	48% / 52%	24–19	47%	Miss
2024 W5 · IND at JAX	31% / 69%	34–37	59%	Correct
2024 W5 · LV at DEN	48% / 52%	18–34	47%	Correct
2024 W5 · MIA at NE	41% / 59%	15–10	52%	Miss
2024 W5 · NO at KC	48% / 52%	13–26	47%	Correct
2024 W5 · NYG at SEA	22% / 78%	29–20	65%	Miss
2024 W5 · NYJ at MIN	42% / 58%	17–23	51%	Correct
2024 W5 · TB at ATL	59% / 41%	30–36	52%	Miss
2024 W4 · BUF at BAL	51% / 49%	10–35	44%	Miss