Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2024 W18 · MIA at NYJ	50% / 50%	20–32	58%	Miss
2024 W18 · MIN at DET	36% / 64%	9–31	67%	Correct
2024 W18 · NO at TB	22% / 78%	19–27	77%	Correct
2024 W18 · NYG at PHI	17% / 83%	13–20	80%	Correct
2024 W18 · SEA at LAR	41% / 59%	30–25	63%	Miss
2024 W18 · SF at ARI	54% / 46%	24–47	60%	Miss
2024 W18 · WAS at DAL	56% / 44%	23–19	62%	Correct
2024 W17 · ARI at LAR	43% / 57%	9–13	62%	Correct
2024 W17 · ATL at WAS	23% / 77%	24–30	76%	Correct
2024 W17 · BAL at HOU	62% / 38%	31–2	65%	Correct
2024 W17 · CAR at TB	18% / 82%	14–48	79%	Correct
2024 W17 · DAL at PHI	40% / 60%	7–41	64%	Correct
2024 W17 · DEN at CIN	43% / 57%	24–30	61%	Correct
2024 W17 · DET at SF	59% / 41%	40–34	63%	Correct
2024 W17 · GB at MIN	42% / 58%	25–27	62%	Correct
2024 W17 · IND at NYG	71% / 29%	33–45	72%	Miss
2024 W17 · KC at PIT	48% / 52%	29–10	58%	Miss
2024 W17 · LAC at NE	61% / 39%	40–7	64%	Correct
2024 W17 · LV at NO	37% / 63%	25–10	66%	Miss
2024 W17 · MIA at CLE	75% / 25%	20–3	74%	Correct
2024 W17 · NYJ at BUF	24% / 76%	14–40	75%	Correct
2024 W17 · SEA at CHI	44% / 56%	6–3	61%	Miss
2024 W17 · TEN at JAX	47% / 53%	13–20	59%	Correct
2024 W16 · ARI at CAR	67% / 33%	30–36	68%	Miss
2024 W16 · CLE at CIN	31% / 69%	6–24	70%	Correct
2024 W16 · DEN at LAC	48% / 52%	27–34	58%	Correct
2024 W16 · DET at CHI	71% / 29%	34–17	71%	Correct
2024 W16 · HOU at KC	39% / 61%	19–27	64%	Correct
2024 W16 · JAX at LV	52% / 48%	14–19	57%	Miss
2024 W16 · LAR at NYJ	50% / 50%	19–9	57%	Correct
2024 W16 · MIN at SEA	71% / 29%	27–24	71%	Correct
2024 W16 · NE at BUF	18% / 82%	21–24	79%	Correct
2024 W16 · NO at GB	24% / 76%	0–34	74%	Correct
2024 W16 · NYG at ATL	26% / 74%	7–34	73%	Correct
2024 W16 · PHI at WAS	55% / 45%	33–36	60%	Miss
2024 W16 · PIT at BAL	35% / 65%	17–34	67%	Correct
2024 W16 · SF at MIA	47% / 53%	17–29	59%	Correct
2024 W16 · TB at DAL	55% / 45%	24–26	60%	Miss
2024 W16 · TEN at IND	32% / 68%	30–38	69%	Correct
2024 W15 · ATL at LV	59% / 41%	15–9	62%	Correct