New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons

Before kickoff

NYG

26%

ATL

74%

Predicted winner

ATL

Confidence

73%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

7–34

Winner ATL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+1.1 ATL
• Home field+0.6 ATL
• QB completion %−0.4 NYG
• Scoring+0.3 ATL