Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

CIN

49%

CLE

51%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–21

Winner CLE. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 CLE
• Passing offense+0.3 CLE
• Passing defense+0.3 CLE
• Scoring−0.3 CIN