Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

CHI

33%

SEA

67%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

25–24

Winner CHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 SEA
• Passing defense−0.6 CHI
• Turnovers+0.3 SEA
• QB yards/attempt+0.3 SEA