Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

BAL

40%

CIN

60%

Predicted winner

CIN

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–41

Winner CIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 CIN
• QB yards/attempt+0.4 CIN
• Rushing defense−0.2 BAL
• Passing offense−0.1 BAL