Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

TB

47%

DAL

53%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

28%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

19–3

Winner TB. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 DAL
• Rushing defense−0.2 TB
• Passing offense+0.1 DAL
• Scoring+0.1 DAL