Washington Commanders at Jacksonville Jaguars
Flexible datePreseason model
Washington
Commanders
Jacksonville
Jaguars
45% WAS win probability55% JAX win probability
- Proj.
- 22–24
- Conf.
- 29%
- Model
- v0.2
2026 regular season
16 games · 16 preseason Model v0.2 snapshots. Walk-forward tested on 1,865 historical games. Not betting advice.
Featured matchup
Preseason modelSelected as the highest-confidence model game this week.
Pittsburgh
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Projected 25–19 · Confidence 41%
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2026 regular season · schedule from NFL Football Operations. Win probabilities from Kickoff Model v0.2 (preseason snapshot; 2025 priors). Not betting advice. Independent product. Not affiliated with the NFL or any club.