Week 17 · Sunday, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET · Atlanta
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons
37% NO win probability63% ATL win probability
- Projected
- 22–26
- Model confidence
- 35%
- Model
- v0.2
Why Kickoff leans ATL
Largest model inputs — log-odds contributions, not causal explanations or betting edges. Confidence is a separate score from win probability.
- Home fieldATL +0.1
Home field: ATL +0.1, NO versus ATL
- Rushing offenseATL +0.1
Rushing offense: ATL +0.1, NO versus ATL
- RestATL +0.1
Rest: ATL +0.1, NO versus ATL
- Win percentageATL +0.1
Win percentage: ATL +0.1, NO versus ATL
- TurnoversNO +0.1
Turnovers: NO +0.1, NO versus ATL
- ScoringATL +0.1
Scoring: ATL +0.1, NO versus ATL
Team context
2026 records are 0–0. Kickoff has not observed 2026 games. Club pages show the latest available nflverse roster snapshot separately from this prediction.
Prediction record
- Publication
- Generated before kickoff · Aug 17, 11:23 PM ET ET
- Source
- Kickoff Model v0.2 · preseason snapshot (prior-season information)
- Lock
- Locks at kickoff
- Final result
- Awaiting final
- Evaluation
- Not settled
Model integrity
- Prediction generated from information available before kickoff.
- No betting odds in the model.
- No future results, injuries, or live 2026 box scores.
- Win probability is not produced by the language model.