New England Patriots at Chicago Bears
Thu 8:15 PMPreseason model
New England
Patriots
Chicago
Bears
58% NE win probability42% CHI win probability
- Proj.
- 24–20
- Conf.
- 31%
- Model
- v0.2
2026 regular season
14 games · 14 preseason Model v0.2 snapshots. Walk-forward tested on 1,865 historical games. Not betting advice.
Featured matchup
Preseason modelSelected as the highest-confidence model game this week.
Los Angeles
LAR
Las Vegas
LV
Projected 30–16 · Confidence 50%
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2026 regular season · schedule from NFL Football Operations. Win probabilities from Kickoff Model v0.2 (preseason snapshot; 2025 priors). Not betting advice. Independent product. Not affiliated with the NFL or any club.