Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2021 W3 · SEA at MIN	51% / 49%	17–30	40%	Miss
2021 W3 · TB at LAR	57% / 43%	24–34	44%	Miss
2021 W3 · WAS at BUF	22% / 78%	21–43	59%	Correct
2021 W2 · ATL at TB	19% / 81%	25–48	55%	Correct
2021 W2 · BUF at MIA	69% / 31%	35–0	47%	Correct
2021 W2 · CIN at CHI	43% / 57%	17–20	39%	Correct
2021 W2 · DAL at LAC	32% / 68%	20–17	46%	Miss
2021 W2 · DEN at JAX	63% / 37%	23–13	43%	Correct
2021 W2 · DET at GB	23% / 77%	17–35	53%	Correct
2021 W2 · HOU at CLE	36% / 64%	21–31	43%	Correct
2021 W2 · KC at BAL	49% / 51%	35–36	35%	Correct
2021 W2 · LAR at IND	57% / 43%	27–24	39%	Correct
2021 W2 · LV at PIT	27% / 73%	26–17	50%	Miss
2021 W2 · MIN at ARI	31% / 69%	33–34	47%	Correct
2021 W2 · NE at NYJ	54% / 46%	25–6	36%	Correct
2021 W2 · NO at CAR	87% / 13%	7–26	60%	Miss
2021 W2 · NYG at WAS	32% / 68%	29–30	47%	Correct
2021 W2 · SF at PHI	51% / 49%	17–11	34%	Correct
2021 W2 · TEN at SEA	36% / 64%	33–30	43%	Miss
2021 W1 · ARI at TEN	23% / 77%	38–13	45%	Miss
2021 W1 · BAL at LV	69% / 31%	27–33	39%	Miss
2021 W1 · CHI at LAR	37% / 63%	14–34	35%	Correct
2021 W1 · CLE at KC	46% / 54%	29–33	29%	Correct
2021 W1 · DAL at TB	13% / 87%	29–31	52%	Correct
2021 W1 · DEN at NYG	40% / 60%	27–13	33%	Miss
2021 W1 · GB at NO	73% / 27%	3–38	42%	Miss
2021 W1 · JAX at HOU	31% / 69%	21–37	40%	Correct
2021 W1 · LAC at WAS	64% / 36%	20–16	36%	Correct
2021 W1 · MIA at NE	55% / 45%	17–16	30%	Correct
2021 W1 · MIN at CIN	64% / 36%	24–27	36%	Miss
2021 W1 · NYJ at CAR	40% / 60%	14–19	33%	Correct
2021 W1 · PHI at ATL	38% / 62%	32–6	35%	Miss
2021 W1 · PIT at BUF	44% / 56%	23–16	30%	Miss
2021 W1 · SEA at IND	44% / 56%	28–16	30%	Miss
2021 W1 · SF at DET	57% / 43%	41–33	31%	Correct
2020 W17 · ARI at LAR	34% / 66%	7–18	68%	Correct
2020 W17 · ATL at TB	27% / 73%	27–44	73%	Correct
2020 W17 · BAL at CIN	86% / 14%	38–3	82%	Correct
2020 W17 · DAL at NYG	57% / 43%	19–23	62%	Miss
2020 W17 · GB at CHI	78% / 22%	35–16	76%	Correct