Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

GB

70%

MIN

30%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

72%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

3–16

Winner MIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.8 GB
• Home field+0.3 MIN
• Interception rate−0.3 GB
• Passing efficiency+0.2 MIN