Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins

Before kickoff

TB

65%

MIA

35%

Predicted winner

TB

Confidence

67%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–20

Winner MIA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.5 TB
• Home field+0.3 MIA
• QB completion %+0.2 MIA
• Interception rate−0.2 TB