Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills

Before kickoff

PHI

43%

BUF

57%

Predicted winner

BUF

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–12

Winner PHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 BUF
• Scoring+0.2 BUF
• Rushing offense+0.1 BUF
• Rushing defense−0.1 PHI