Arizona Cardinals at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

ARI

43%

CIN

57%

Predicted winner

CIN

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–37

Winner CIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 CIN
• Offensive touchdowns+0.1 CIN
• Scoring+0.1 CIN
• QB yards/attempt+0.1 CIN