Atlanta Falcons at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

ATL

46%

ARI

54%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

26–19

Winner ATL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 ARI
• Offensive touchdowns+0.1 ARI
• QB yards/attempt−0.1 ATL
• Rushing offense−0.1 ATL