Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

JAX

70%

TEN

30%

Predicted winner

JAX

Confidence

69%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

25–3

Winner JAX. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 TEN
• Win percentage−0.3 JAX
• Scoring−0.3 JAX
• Scoring differential−0.2 JAX