Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

GB

35%

DET

65%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–24

Winner GB. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 DET
• Scoring+0.2 DET
• Offensive touchdowns+0.2 DET
• Rushing offense+0.1 DET