Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

CHI

34%

PHI

66%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–15

Winner CHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 PHI
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 PHI
• Scoring differential+0.1 PHI
• Rushing defense+0.1 PHI