New York Giants at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

NYG

12%

DET

88%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

80%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–34

Winner DET. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.7 DET
• Scoring+0.4 DET
• Scoring differential+0.3 DET
• Win percentage+0.3 DET