Washington Commanders at Miami Dolphins

Before kickoff

WAS

50%

MIA

50%

Predicted winner

MIA

Confidence

54%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–16

Winner MIA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.6 MIA
• QB completion %−0.2 WAS
• Interception rate−0.1 WAS
• Rushing offense−0.1 WAS