Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

LAC

58%

JAX

42%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

6–35

Winner JAX. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 JAX
• Scoring differential−0.2 LAC
• Offensive touchdowns−0.1 LAC
• Win percentage−0.1 LAC