Green Bay Packers at New York Giants

Before kickoff

GB

68%

NYG

33%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–20

Winner GB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage−0.3 GB
• Home field+0.3 NYG
• Scoring differential−0.2 GB
• Rushing defense−0.2 GB