Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos

Before kickoff

LV

17%

DEN

83%

Predicted winner

DEN

Confidence

75%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

7–10

Winner DEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential+0.3 DEN
• Win percentage+0.3 DEN
• Scoring+0.3 DEN
• Home field+0.3 DEN