Detroit Lions at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

DET

73%

WAS

27%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

44–22

Winner DET. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.7 DET
• Home field+0.3 WAS
• Scoring−0.3 DET
• Scoring differential−0.2 DET