Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

SEA

67%

WAS

33%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

38–14

Winner SEA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.9 SEA
• Home field+0.3 WAS
• QB completion %+0.2 WAS
• Passing efficiency+0.2 WAS