Chicago Bears at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

CHI

50%

CIN

50%

Predicted winner

CIN

Confidence

51%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

47–42

Winner CHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.3 CHI
• Home field+0.3 CIN
• Offensive touchdowns+0.2 CIN
• Rushing offense−0.1 CHI