Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

TB

50%

SEA

50%

Predicted winner

TB

Confidence

46%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

38–35

Winner TB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.3 SEA
• Home field+0.3 SEA
• Offensive touchdowns−0.2 TB
• Passing efficiency−0.1 TB