Miami Dolphins at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

MIA

56%

CAR

44%

Predicted winner

MIA

Confidence

50%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–27

Winner CAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.4 MIA
• Home field+0.3 CAR
• Passing efficiency+0.1 CAR
• Rushing defense−0.1 MIA