Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

SEA

49%

ARI

51%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

43%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–20

Winner SEA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.3 SEA
• Home field+0.3 ARI
• Passing efficiency+0.2 ARI
• Rushing offense+0.1 ARI