New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills

Before kickoff

NO

15%

BUF

85%

Predicted winner

BUF

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

19–31

Winner BUF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.5 BUF
• Win percentage+0.4 BUF
• Scoring differential+0.4 BUF
• QB yards/attempt+0.3 BUF