Los Angeles Chargers at New York Giants

Before kickoff

LAC

74%

NYG

26%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

18–21

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage−0.4 LAC
• Scoring differential−0.3 LAC
• Home field+0.3 NYG
• Scoring−0.3 LAC