Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

DET

40%

BAL

60%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

46%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

38–30

Winner DET. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 BAL
• Rushing offense+0.2 BAL
• Interception rate+0.1 BAL
• Win percentage−0.1 DET