Washington Commanders at Green Bay Packers

Before kickoff

WAS

47%

GB

53%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

36%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

18–27

Winner GB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 GB
• Rushing defense+0.1 GB
• Rushing offense−0.1 WAS
• Passing efficiency−0.1 WAS