Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

ATL

28%

MIN

72%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

49%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

22–6

Winner ATL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage+0.3 MIN
• Home field+0.3 MIN
• Offensive touchdowns+0.2 MIN
• Scoring differential+0.2 MIN