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2025 · Week 1 · v0.2 · regular season

Tennessee Titans at Denver Broncos

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

TEN
22%
DEN
78%
Predicted winner
DEN
Confidence
46%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

1220

Winner DEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Scoring differential+0.3 DEN
  • Home field+0.3 DEN
  • Win percentage+0.3 DEN
  • Scoring+0.3 DEN