Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Jets

Before kickoff

PIT

58%

NYJ

42%

Predicted winner

PIT

Confidence

32%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–32

Winner PIT. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 NYJ
• Win percentage−0.2 PIT
• Rushing offense−0.1 PIT
• Offensive touchdowns+0.1 NYJ