Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

DAL

18%

PHI

82%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

48%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–24

Winner PHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring differential+0.3 PHI
• QB yards/attempt+0.3 PHI
• Rushing offense+0.3 PHI
• Home field+0.3 PHI