Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

CIN

43%

PIT

57%

Predicted winner

PIT

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

19–17

Winner CIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 PIT
• Scoring−0.3 CIN
• Offensive touchdowns−0.2 CIN
• Rushing defense+0.2 PIT