Minnesota Vikings at Atlanta Falcons

Before kickoff

MIN

61%

ATL

39%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–28

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.6 MIN
• Home field+0.6 ATL
• Scoring−0.2 MIN
• QB completion %+0.2 ATL