Los Angeles Chargers at New York Jets

Before kickoff

LAC

55%

NYJ

45%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

54%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–6

Winner LAC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 NYJ
• Scoring−0.4 LAC
• Passing defense+0.3 NYJ
• Rushing defense−0.2 LAC