New York Jets at New York Giants

Before kickoff

NYJ

57%

NYG

43%

Predicted winner

NYJ

Confidence

54%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–10

Winner NYJ. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 NYG
• Scoring−0.2 NYJ
• Scoring differential−0.2 NYJ
• QB yards/attempt−0.1 NYJ