Houston Texans at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

HOU

61%

CAR

39%

Predicted winner

HOU

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–15

Winner CAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.8 HOU
• Home field+0.6 CAR
• Passing efficiency+0.2 CAR
• Scoring differential−0.2 HOU