Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos

Before kickoff

GB

53%

DEN

47%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

50%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–19

Winner DEN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 DEN
• Passing defense−0.2 GB
• Scoring differential−0.2 GB
• Scoring−0.1 GB